A View on CoViD-19 Death

My View on CoViD-19 Death

Written by April 04, 2020

Coronavirus 

(Source: US DoD - March 2020)

     Top medical doctors and scientists in US who based on the past 3-month data of deaths, drew the CoViD-19 Model curve at its apex of 100,000 to 240,000 deaths. The data might be accurate - assume that the number of death in China/WuHan and world data collection are correct - during the last few months. Currently, the number of deaths (NoD) is high.

     However, all healthcare workers are now aware and the whole medical world pay a lot of attention to the illness. Doctors, scientists and researchers are racing to find the cure (medication and vaccine) and also have much more experience in treatment. Notice that medical data becomes much more dynamic along with the ultra-fast learning curve of the doctors, nurses, EMT, etc. In order to obtain the proper model for accurate CoViD-19 curve, the scientists should use medical data in motion or data in transit. This data in use is a dynamic data processed by analyzing it on the fly without storing it in real time. The high-tech software tools for data analytics or statistics are Hadoop, R Project, Tableau, SPSS, QSR NVivo, or ATLAS.

     Therefore, rate of deaths should be lower. Consequently, NoD is much lower than the predicted number of death announced by the President last week. My prediction is that NoD should be less than 100,000 – it could be around 50,000 in US at this time. But the number of deaths (NoD=50,000 in US) is still unacceptable by the medicine community.

God Bless All of Us !